Supporters of the Tyneside club are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as a fickle companion. On their day, they can be the ultimate entertainers, producing breathtaking performances. Yet, in other matches, key individuals like their midfield linchpin and his teammates simply fail to appear.
Compounding the frustration is a late-game strategy laced with a distinct element of chaos. Ahead of their trip to Manchester United, the facts tell a concerning story: they have dropped 13 precious top-flight leverage from leading positions this campaign and are yet to keep a shutout in 10 consecutive outings across all competitions. Securing victory at Old Trafford would constitute only their second-ever league triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, defeat has only come on one occasion in their last six Premier League encounters, and despite occupying a modest eleventh place, they remain a mere six points off the coveted Champions League places. Add in an impending two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a decent opportunity of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it is easier to understand the gaffer's measured optimism.
“We don't just have issues,” said the club's boss. “You can see assets as well. The perspective here is very much positive at present. I realize others may hold a divergent view, but in my view we are making progress.”
The question remains: can this squad match – or perhaps eclipse – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place standing? Balancing a packed calendar makes this difficult.
This tiredness could account for the inability to uphold a brilliant first-half performance versus their London rivals, eventually letting slip a 2-0 advantage to tie 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the reason for a subdued display in a damaging loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked off the pace just days after a demanding European away day.
While coaching is clearly Howe's forte, the relentless grind of twice-weekly matches has drastically reduced crucial coaching hours. This slows the squad's stylistic adaptation to operating with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While immensely gifted, Woltemade does not possess the same searing counter-attacking speed or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's signature high press has at times malfunctioned. Fitness issues to key engine the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while high-profile arrivals Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have had difficulties adapting since their big-money moves.
While a switch to a three-man defense could arguably help the cause, a severe defensive injury list renders that unlikely. Important full-backs will be missing for the upcoming key matches, further testing the squad's depth.
At their energetic peak, they look virtually unstoppable. The problem is sustaining that intensity for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying counter-attacking formation has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“That match descended into disorganized at 2-2,” conceded the manager. “However the intention was going for the victory. We always try to secure the three points.”
What seems called for is a pragmatic solution – with better possession retention, a midfield adept of slowing the pace, and a pragmatic willingness to sometimes settle for a draw. Yet, a desire to challenge on every competitions is testing thin squad numbers to their limit.
It may seem heretical to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. Amid critical European and Premier League matches on the agenda, the imperative to strategically choose focus areas is growing increasingly apparent.
The manager acknowledged the magnitude of the task remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the pressures are enormous. Each game is crucial. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have a great deal of work to do to transform into the regularly winning side we envision. Our capacity to put sequences of victories has eluded us so far.
“The objective is to attain those heights we know we're able to reach. I believe that the confidence to achieve it is returning. But nowadays we have to show it. It's not all bad currently, but the next few weeks will determine much.”
Elara is a former odds compiler turned betting analyst, sharing data-driven strategies to help bettors maximize their returns.
Jesse Stein
Jesse Stein
Jesse Stein
Jesse Stein
Jesse Stein
Jesse Stein